The Cleveland Browns (4-1) face off against the Pittsburgh Steelers (4-0) in this week 6 matchup.
The Browns come in to this game 13th in total yards per game on offense (386.6 Yds/Game) passing for 198.2 Yds/game and rushing for 188.4 Yds/Game. The Browns are 21st in total yards allowed on defense per game (383.4 Yds/Game) allowing 296.4 Yds/Game through the air and 87.0 Yds/Game on the ground. The Browns have 12 sacks, 6 interception, and 6 fumbles recovered, while giving up 7 sacks, 4 interceptions, and 2 fumbles lost this season.
The Steelers come in to this game ranked 15th in total offense (378.3 Yds/Game) passing for 239.5 Yds/Game and rushing for 138.8 Yds/Game. Steelers are 3rd in total yards allowed on defense per game (298.2 Yds/Game) allowing 237.5 Yds/Game through the air and 64.0 Yds/Game on the ground. Steelers have 20 sacks, 6 interceptions, and 1 fumble recovered, while giving up 6 sacks, 1 interceptions, and 3 fumbles lost.
The Browns come into this game 20th DVOA against the pass and 10th DVOA against the run. The Browns tend to play a lot of zone coverage on defense mixed in with some man and heavy blitzes. On offense the Browns like to rely on the run as they are 2nd in DVOA in running offense, but if the Steelers running defense is able to stop them, I imagine the Browns will adjust and start attacking through the air. The Steelers will utitilze a balanced offesne but should be able to expose the Brown's weak passing defense with their passing offense and play from the lead here. I like the Steelers to cover the spread here, even if the Steelers get off to a slow start vs the Browns they should eventually get ahead and take control of this game.