PREVIEW:
Today’s matchup is between the Rays (43-26) and the Mariners (34-36). In the last 10 games the Rays are (7-3) while the Mariners are (5-5).
STARTING PITCHING:
The Rays are starting Rich Hill LHP, who is (5-2) on the season pitching a 3.38 ERA, 3.95 FIP, .278 OBP, .275 wOBA, .339 SLG, .617 OPS, K% of 25.9%, BB% of 8.7%, 89.5 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.03 WHIP in 66.2 innings pitched.
The Mariners are starting Justin Dunn RHP, who is (1-3) on the season pitching a 3.91 ERA, 4.84 FIP, .327 OBP, .303 wOBA, .339 SLG, .666 OPS, K% of 22.7%, BB% of 13.7%, 89.5 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.35 WHIP in 48.1 innings pitched.
⚡ EDGE (1 to 10) - RAYS 5.5
RELIEF PITCHING:
The Rays are 5th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching. They have a 3.00 ERA, 3.57 FIP, 3.89 xFIP, K% of 25.3%, BB% of 8.2%, and a 1.14 WHIP.
The Mariners are 8th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching. They have a 4.31 ERA, 3.73 FIP, 4.21 xFIP, K% of 23.0%, BB% of 8.8%, and a 1.28 WHIP.
⚡ EDGE (1 to 10) - RAYS 2
HITTING:
The Rays have a .312 wOBA, .318 OBP, .392 SLG, .710 OPS, 103 wRC+, & 81 HRs.
The Mariners have a .292 wOBA, .29 OBP, .374 SLG, .664 OPS, 89 wRC+, & 79 HRs.
vs RHP pitchers on the road the Rays have a .341 wOBA, .341 OBP, .446 SLG, .787 OPS, & 118 wRC+.
vs LHP pitchers at home the Mariners have a .264 wOBA, .260 OBP, .335 SLG, .595 OPS, & 74 wRC+.
⚡ EDGE (1 to 10) - RAYS 6
BALLPARK FACTORS:
The game is being played at T-Mobile Park which has the 29 ranked Park Factor in the Majors. Where 100 is the league average this park has:
Park Factor 93, Runs Scored 92, OBP 96, 2B 94, 3B 89, HRs 87, & SO 59.
BREAKDOWN:
⚾ The Mariners at home don’t hit well against LHP. The fact the Rays can hit RHP and they have the better starting pitcher is why they are my pick to win the game!
💰🔮 My guess at the ML number before looking -155 Rays | Live Line is Rays -170.
