San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers


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Today’s matchup is between the San Diego Padres (32-18) and the Milwaukee Brewers (24-25). The Padres have won 4 of their last 5 games & the Brewers have won 3 of their last 5 games.

The Padres are starting Ryan Weathers (LHP), on the mound who is 2-1 on the season pitching a 1.48 ERA, 3.96 FIP, .251 wOBA, K% of 19%, BB% of 7.8%, 91.7 MPH average exit velocity, and a 0.92 WHIP in 30.1 innings pitched.

The Brewers are starting Adrian Houser (LHP), who is 2-5 on the season with a 4.53 ERA, 5.21 FIP, .339 wOBA, K% of 20.4%, BB% of 10.8%, 90.8 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.40 WHIP in 43.2 innings pitched.

The Padres are the 6th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Brewers are 8th.

On the hitting side, the Padres have a .311 wOBA and a .326 OBP. The Brewers have a .288 wOBA and a .295 OBP. The Padres have 48 HRs this season while the Brewers have 54 HRs.

This is a pretty simple pick... the Padres are the better team in all aspects of the game and have the superior starting pitcher in Ryan Weathers so -115 on the Padres is a steal.

  • San Diego is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games
  • Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Diego
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 10 games when playing San Diego