San Diego Padres vs Houston Astros


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Today’s matchup is between the San Diego Padres (32-19) and the Houston Astros (27-22). The Padres have won 3 of their last 5 games & the Astros have won 1 of their last 5 games.

The Padres are starting Yu Darvish (RHP), on the mound who is 5-1 on the season pitching a 1.75 ERA, 2.65 FIP, .252 wOBA, K% of 30.8%, BB% of 5.4%, 86.5 MPH average exit velocity, and a 0.89 WHIP in 61.2 innings pitched.

The Astros are starting Jake Odorizzi (RHP), who is 0-2 on the season with a 10.13 ERA, 6.37 FIP, .420 wOBA, K% of 29.7%, BB% of 8.1%, 89.8 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.63 WHIP in 8.0 innings pitched.

The Padres are 6th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Astros are 23rd.

On the hitting side, the Padres have a .311 wOBA and a .326 OBP. The Astros have a .330 wOBA and a .333 OBP. The Padres have 48 HRs this season while the Astros have 56 HRs.

Jake Odorizzi has a small sample size and he's better than his ERA indicates but Yu Darvish is lights out on the mound right now. Although the Astros have the better hitting team it's not that drastic so I like the Padres to win the game.

  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games.
  • San Diego are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games.
  • San Diego are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Houston.
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 12 games.
  • Houston are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games against San Diego.