Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays


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Today’s matchup is between the Philadelphia Phillies (34-21) and the Tampa Bay Rays (31-24). The Phillies have won 1 of their last 5 games, while the Rays have won 6 of their last 8 games.

The Phillies are starting Vince Velasquez (RHP), who is 1-1 on the season pitching a 5.46 ERA, 4.40 FIP, .343 wOBA, K% of 30.3%, BB% of 11.4%, 87.0 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.52 WHIP in 29.2 innings pitched.

The Rays are starting Charlie Morton (RHP), who is 2-2 on the season with a 4.64 ERA, 3.88 FIP, .321 wOBA, K% of 23.0%, BB% of 6.1%, 89.3 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.36 WHIP in 33.0 innings pitched.

The Phillies are the 28th best in the Majors in Relieving Pitching, while the Rays are 1st.

On the hitting side, the Phillies have a .334 wOBA and a .340 OBP. The Rays have a .320 wOBA and a .323 OBP. The Phillies have 81 HRs this season while the Rays have 79 HRs.

I like the Rays here, they've been on a roll the past 8 games and they have the better starting pitcher and relievers. Phillies have the better batting team, but the Rays should hold up and get the win here.

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games.
  • Philadelphia are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
  • Philadelphia are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Tampa Bay.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games.
  • Tampa Bay are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games at home.