Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays


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Today’s matchup is between the Philadelphia Phillies (25-27) and the Tampa Bay Rays (33-20). The Phillies have won 3 of their last 5 games & the Rays have won 4 of their last 5 games.

The Phillies are starting Zach Eflin (RHP), on the mound who is 2-4 on the season pitching a 3.84 ERA, 2.89 FIP, .309 wOBA, K% of 24.4%, BB% of 2.7%, 88.3 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.17 WHIP in 63.1 innings pitched.

The Rays are starting Collin McHugh (RHP), who is 0-1 on the season with a 4.02 ERA, 2.35 FIP, .333 wOBA, K% of 34.3%, BB% of 9.0%, 87.7 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.40 WHIP in 15.2 innings pitched.

The Phillies are 26th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Rays are 14th.

On the hitting side, the Phillies have a .301 wOBA and a .309 OBP. The Rays have a .315 wOBA and a .317 OBP. The Phillies have 50 HRs this season while the Rays have 62 HRs.

The Rays have the advantage in all aspects of the game compared to the Phillies. Collin McHugh in his short sample size might improve from his 4.02 ERA but it won't be enough to stop the Rays from getting the win.

  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 18 games.
  • Philadelphia are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games.
  • Philadelphia are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Tampa Bay.
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games.
  • Tampa Bay are 14-1 SU in their last 15 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games against Philadelphia.