Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets


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Today’s matchup is between the New York Mets (22-27) and the Philadelphia Phillies (24-24). The Mets have won 2 of their last 5 games & the Phillies have won 2 of their last 5 games.

The Mets are starting Seth Lugo (RHP), on the mound who is 2-3 in 13 games on the season pitching a 2.63 ERA, 2.76 FIP, .264 wOBA, K% of 32.7%, BB% of 6.4%, 89.1 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.10 WHIP in 27.1 innings pitched.

The Phillies are starting Aaron Nola (RHP), who is 5-3 in 9 starts on the season with a 2.40 ERA, 3.11 FIP, .247 wOBA, K% of 35.5%, BB% of 6.0%, 88.7 MPH average exit velocity, and a 0.89 WHIP in 56.1 innings pitched.

The Mets are the 15th best in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Phillies are 28th.

On the hitting side, the Mets have a .351 wOBA and a .354 OBP. The Phillies have a .335 wOBA and a .339 OBP. The Mets have 67 HRs this season while the Phillies have 66 HRs.

This game should be close but I going to side with the Philadelphia Phillies since Lugo has struggled against the Phillies and The Philadelphia Phillies are the home team in this match where they've been splendid.

  • Diamondbacks are 3-13 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Diamondbacks are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Under is 11-5 in Diamondbacks last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Diamondbacks are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Angels are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.