Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS MIAMI MARLINS

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Today’s matchup is between the Philadelphia Phillies (22-20) and the Miami Marlins (21-20). The Phillies have won 2 of their last 5 games and the Marlins have won 3 of their last 5 games. In the first game of this series the Marlins won 5-3.

The Phillies are starting Spencer Howard (RHP), on the mound who is 1-2 in 5 starts on the season pitching a 5.66 ERA, 5.89 FIP, .380 wOBA, K% of 18.2%, BB% of 8.1%, 87.5 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.74 WHIP in 20.2 innings pitched.

The Twins are starting Jose Urena (RHP), who is making his 2nd start after teasting positive for COVID-19, with a 5.40 ERA, 5.38 FIP, .363 wOBA, K% of 9.1%, BB% of 13.6%, 92.5 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.40 WHIP in 5 innings pitched.

The Phillies are the 27th best in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Twins are 29th.

On the hitting side, the Phillies have a .337 wOBA and a .342 OBP. The Twins have a .308 wOBA and a .320 OBP. The Phillies have 58 HRs this season while the Twins have 38 HRs.

The Phillies have been up and down this season and are facing a pitcher who was rusty in his debut, I expect the Phillies to really challenge Jose Urena with their batting. Im going with the Phillies on this one at very reasonable odds at -116.

Philadelphia Phillies:
Record: 22-20

Last 10 Games: 5-5

Streak: L1

Miami Marlins:
Record: 21-20

Last 10 Games: 5-5

Streak: L1

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games.
  • Philadelphia are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games.
  • Philadelphia are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Miami.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games.
  • Miami are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games against Philadelphia.

PREDICTION

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ML Phillies

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