Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds

PHILLIES VS REDS

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Today’s matchup is between the Philadelphia Phillies (25-29) and the Cincinnati Reds (24-28). The Phillies have won 1 of their last 5 games & the Reds have won 3 of their last 5 games.

The Phillies are starting Spencer Howard (RHP), on the mound who is 0-1 on the season pitching a 5.56 ERA, 2.77 FIP, .322 wOBA, K% of 32.1%, BB% of 17.0%, 87.4 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.59 WHIP in 11.1 innings pitched.

The Reds are starting Vladimir Gutierrez (RHP), who is 0-1 on the season with a 1.80 ERA, 5.72 FIP, .228 wOBA, K% of 15.8%, BB% of 10.5%, 91.7 MPH average exit velocity, and a 0.80 WHIP in 5.0 innings pitched.

The Phillies are 25th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Reds are 21st.

On the hitting side, the Phillies have a .299 wOBA and a .307 OBP. The Reds have a .326 wOBA and a .323 OBP. The Phillies have 52 HRs this season while the Reds have 73 HRs.

Betting on this game is a crapshoot as there's not much information to go off for the starting pitchers who have a combined 16 innings pitched. That said, if Spencer Howard (Phillies) can bring down his BB% under 10 I think he's going to be a stud pitcher going forward. I personally won't be betting this game but I lean with the Phillies.

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games.
  • Philadelphia are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road.
  • Cincinnati are 5-10 SU in their last 15 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 11 games against Philadelphia.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home.

PREDICTION

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PHILLIES

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