Today’s matchup is between the New York Yankees (31-29) and the Minnesota Twins (24-35). The Yankees have won 1 of their last 5 games & the Twins have won 2 of their last 5 games.
The Yankees are starting Jordan Montgomery (LHP), who is 3-1 on the season with a 3.92 ERA, 3.55 FIP, 0.292 wOBA, K% of 24.4%, BB% of 6.2%, 88.3 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.13 WHIP in 59.2 innings pitched.
The Twins are starting Michael Pineda (RHP), who is 3-3 on the season with a 3.4 ERA, 4.35 FIP, 0.294 wOBA, K% of 25%, BB% of 6.3%, 89 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.08 WHIP in 47.2 innings pitched.
The Yankees are 7th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Twins are 24th.
On the hitting side, the Yankees have a .304 wOBA and a .315 OBP with 69 HRs. While the Twins have a .322 wOBA and a .316 OBP with 83 HRs.
Despite their records, these pitchers are pretty evenly matched. The Yankees that the relief pitching advantage while the Twins are the better hitting team. I feel this is a 50/50 game so the Yankees at -120 is a - EV bet in the long term so I will take the Tigers at +105.
