New York Mets vs San Diego Padres

METS VS PADRES

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Today’s matchup is between the New York Mets (27-22) and the San Diego Padres (35-23). The Mets have won 3 of their last 5 games & the Padres have won 1 of their last 5 games.

The Mets are starting Joey Lucchesi (LHP), on the mound who is 1-3 on the season pitching a 6.56 ERA, 3.22 FIP, .335 wOBA, K% of 27.0%, BB% of 8.0%, 89.1 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.92 WHIP in 23.1 innings pitched.

The Padres are starting Blake Snell (LHP), who is 1-2 on the season with a 5.55 ERA, 4.41 FIP, .342 wOBA, K% of 32.1%, BB% of 14.2%, 87.4 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.60 WHIP in 47.0 innings pitched.

The Mets are 1st in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Padres are 8th.

On the hitting side, the Mets have a .300 wOBA and a .313 OBP. The Padres have a .309 wOBA and a .322 OBP. The Mets have 43 HRs this season while the Padres have 59 HRs.

I expect Joey Lucchesi (Mets) to turn it around while Blake Snell's 14% BB rate could get him in trouble. Padres have the hitting edge but with +150 odds I like the value for the Mets to win the game!

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets' last 5 games.
  • NY Mets are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Diego's last 14 games.
  • San Diego are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 13 of San Diego's last 20 games against NY Mets.

PREDICTION

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