Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

BREWERS VS REDS

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Today’s matchup is between the Milwaukee Brewers (34-27) and the Cincinnati Reds (29-30). The Brewers have won 8 of their last 10 games & the Reds have won 7 of their last 10 games.

The Brewers are starting Freddy Peralta (RHP), who is 6-1 on the season with a 2.25 ERA, 2.90 FIP, .23 wOBA, K% of 36.9%, BB% of 10.8%, 87.2 MPH average exit velocity, and a 0.88 WHIP in 64 innings pitched.

The Reds are starting Luis Castillo (RHP), who is 2-8 on the season with a 6.63 ERA, 4.73 FIP, .37 wOBA, K% of 19.5%, BB% of 8.8%, 87.6 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.67 WHIP in 58.1 innings pitched.

The Brewers are 22nd in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Reds are 29th.

On the hitting side, The Brewers have a .296 wOBA, .299 OBP, .372 SLG, .671 OPS, 86 wRC+, & 76 HRs. The Reds have a .329 wOBA, .326 OBP, .427 SLG, .753 OPS, 105 wRC+, & 82 HRs.

Freddy Peralta's 37% strikeout rate is absurd! The Reds are better at hitting but I think the difference between him & Luis Castillo's production will be enough for the Brewers to get the win!

  • Milwaukee are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
  • Milwaukee are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
  • Milwaukee are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati.
  • Cincinnati are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
  • Cincinnati are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games at home.
  • Cincinnati are 7-13 SU in their last 20 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.

PREDICTION

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