Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates


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Today’s matchup is between the Miami Marlins (24-31) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (21-34). The Marlins have won 0 of their last 5 games & the Pirates have won 2 of their last 5 games.

The Marlins are starting Cody Poteet (RHP), on the mound who is 2-1 on the season pitching a 2.95 ERA, 3.13 FIP, .236 wOBA, K% of 23.2%, BB% of 4.9%, 90.0 MPH average exit velocity, and a 0.84 WHIP in 21.1 innings pitched.

The Pirates are starting Mitch Keller (RHP), who is 3-6 on the season with a 6.54 ERA, 4.49 FIP, .368 wOBA, K% of 23.1%, BB% of 11.6%, 90.8 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.69 WHIP in 42.2 innings pitched.

The Marlins are the 6th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Pirates are 12th.

On the hitting side, the Marlins have a .292 wOBA and a .300 OBP. The Pirates have a .288 wOBA and a .300 OBP. The Marlins have 49 HRs this season while the Pirates have 37 HRs.

Marlins should easily get the win in this matchup. Cody Poteet's the much better starting pitcher and while the Marlins aren't a great hitting team they don't need to be against the powerless Pirates. I just checked the line & I'm surprised the Marlins are only -108. One of my favorite plays of the day so far.

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games.
  • Miami are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games.
  • Miami are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games against Pittsburgh.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games.
  • Pittsburgh are 4-12 SU in their last 16 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games against Miami.