Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox

MARLINS VS RED SOX

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Today’s matchup is between the Miami Marlins (24-27) and the Boston Red Sox (31-20). The Marlins have won 2 of their last 5 games & the Red Sox have won 3 of their last 5 games.

The Marlins are starting Sandy Alcantara (RHP), on the mound who is 2-4 on the season pitching a 3.46 ERA, 3.61 FIP, .270 wOBA, K% of 24.7%, BB% of 7.7%, 88.3 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.03 WHIP in 65.0 innings pitched.

The Red Sox are starting Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP), who is 5-3 on the season with a 5.06 ERA, 3.51 FIP, .352 wOBA, K% of 26.2%, BB% of 5.3%, 86.7 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.40 WHIP in 48.0 innings pitched.

The Marlins are 5th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Red Sox are 4th.

On the hitting side, the Marlins have a .292 wOBA and a .298 OBP. The Red Sox have a .332 wOBA and a .321 OBP. The Marlins have 44 HRs this season while the Red Sox have 67 HRs.

These starting pitchers are very comparable to their output so far this season while I give the edge to Sandy Alcantara, the Red Sox clearly have the hitting advantage. BUT if you are going to give me +140 odds on the Marlins I will take that bet all day.

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games.
  • Miami are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
  • Miami are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games against Boston.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games.
  • Boston are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games against Miami.

PREDICTION

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MARLINS

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