Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox

MARLINS VS RED SOX

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Today’s matchup is between the Miami Marlins (24-26) and the Boston Red Sox (30-20). The Marlins have won 3 of their last 5 games & the Red Sox have won 3 of their last 5 games.

The Marlins are starting Trevor Rogers (LHP), on the mound who is 6-2 on the season pitching a 1.75 ERA, 2.61 FIP, .261 wOBA, K% of 31.4%, BB% of 9.9%, 88.7 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.06 WHIP in 56.2 innings pitched.

The Red Sox are starting Nathan Eovaldi (RHP), who is 5-2 on the season with a 4.39 ERA, 2.43 FIP, .293 wOBA, K% of 22.0%, BB% of 5.6%, 87.5 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.19 WHIP in 55.1 innings pitched.

The Marlins are 5th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Red Sox are 4th.

On the hitting side, the Marlins have a .292 wOBA and a .298 OBP. The Red Sox have a .332 wOBA and a .321 OBP. The Marlins have 44 HRs this season while the Red Sox have 67 HRs.

I would say this is a pretty evenly matched game except when it comes to hitting. The Red Sox clearly have the edge and Nathan Eovaldi's 2.43 FIP is impressive so I'm taking the Red Sox to win.

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games.
  • Miami are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against Boston.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road.
  • Boston are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.
  • Boston are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games at home.
  • Boston are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Miami.

PREDICTION

0
RED SOX

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