PREVIEW:
Today’s matchup is between the Dodgers (50-31) and the Nationals (40-39). In the last 10 games the Dodgers are (6-4) while the Nationals are (7-3).
STARTING PITCHING:
The Dodgers are starting Julio Urias RHP, who is (7-2) on the season pitching a 2.44 ERA, 3.06 FIP, .257 OBP, .264 wOBA, .342 SLG, .599 OPS, K% of 30.5%, BB% of 6.1%, 87.2 MPH average exit velocity, and a .94 WHIP in 96 innings pitched.
The Nationals are starting Max Scherzer RHP, who is (5-4) on the season pitching a 3.35 ERA, 3.39 FIP, .281 OBP, .281 wOBA, .333 SLG, .614 OPS, K% of 24.8%, BB% of 8.5%, 88 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.15 WHIP in 88.2 innings pitched.
⚡ EDGE (1 to 10) - 4.5 DODGERS
RELIEF PITCHING:
The Dodgers are 6th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching. They have a 3.58 ERA, 3.82 FIP, 4.13 xFIP, K% of 25.2%, BB% of 11%, and a 1.27 WHIP.
The Nationals are 15th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching. They have a 3.93 ERA, 4.09 FIP, 4.31 xFIP, K% of 24.6%, BB% of 9.4%, and a 1.24 WHIP.
⚡ EDGE (1 to 10) - 2 DODGERS
HITTING:
The Dodgers have a .327 wOBA, .336 OBP, .412 SLG, .748 OPS, 110 wRC+, & 105 HRs.
The Nationals have a .319 wOBA, .324 OBP, .407 SLG, .731 OPS, 99 wRC+, & 89 HRs.
vs RHP pitchers on the road the Dodgers have a .333 wOBA, .351 OBP, .408 SLG, .759 OPS, & 110 wRC+.
vs RHP pitchers at home the Nationals have a .319 wOBA, .324 OBP, .407 SLG, .731 OPS, & 99 wRC+.
⚡ EDGE (1 to 10) - 4 DODGERS
BALLPARK FACTORS:
The game is being played at Nationals Park which has the 27 ranked Park Factor in the Majors. Where 100 is the league average this park has:
Park Factor 95, Runs Scored 90, OBP 95, 2B 112, 3B 97, HRs 89, & SO 96.
BREAKDOWN:
⚾ The Dodgers have a slight edge in pitching & hitting. I believe the Dodgers will win this game and after checking the line I’m surprised it’s just at -125. Line opened at +100 which would have been a steal but I still like the Dodgers to win.
🔮 My guess at the ML number before looking -155 | Live Line is -125.
