Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays


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Today’s matchup is between the Houston Astros (35-35) and the Tampa Bay Rays (48-23).

The Astros are starting Framber Valdez (LHP), who is 5-3 on the season pitching a 3.57 ERA, 2.85 FIP, .275 wOBA, K% of 26.4%, BB% of 5.6%, 91.4 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.12 WHIP in 70.2 innings pitched.

The Rays are starting Blake Snell (LHP), who is 4-2 on the season with a 3.24 ERA, 4.35 FIP, .307 wOBA, K% of 31.0%, BB% of 8.9%, 87.8 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.20 WHIP in 50.0 innings pitched.

The Astros are the 14th best in the Majors in Relieving Pitching, while the Rays are 4th.

On the hitting side, the Astros have a .307 wOBA and a .311 OBP. The Rays have a .320 wOBA and a .325 OBP. The Astros have 69 HRs this season while the Rays have 80 HRs.

I like the Rays money line here. The Rays wOBA batting vs LHP's jumps from .320 to .343 which is pretty significant. They lost their last game but Blake Snell should be able to limit the Astros batting. If he starts to give up runs, the Rays still have a very strong bullpen to rely on, so they should be able to close out the series in this one.

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