Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners

HOUSTON ASTROS VS SEATTLE MARINERS

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Today’s matchup is between the Houston Astros (27-26) and the Seattle Mariners (23-30). The Astros have won 3 of their last 5 games while the Mariners have only won 1 of their last 5 games.

The Astros are starting Lance McCullers Jr (RHP), who is 3-2 in 9 starts, pitching a 4.87 ERA, 3.97 FIP, .323 wOBA, K% of 21.5%, BB% of 8.6%, 89.2 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.24 WHIP in 44.1 innings pitched.

The Mariners are starting Marco Gonzales (LHP), who is 6-2 in 9 starts with a 3.49 ERA, 3.63 FIP, .259 wOBA, K% of 23.7%, BB% of 2.2%, 86.5 MPH average exit velocity, and a .90 WHIP in 56 innings pitched.

The Astros are the 15th best in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Mariners are 30th.

On the hitting side, the Astros have a .309 wOBA and a .310 OBP. The Mariners have a .303 wOBA and a .313 OBP. The Astros have 57 HRs this season while the Mariners have 54 HRs.

Seattle has been on the down as of late but they'll have Marco Gonzales, who doesn't give up many walks with a 2.2% BB rate and a .90 WHIP. Houston has also struggled to hit the ball as of late with a 0.181 batting average in their last 3 games which is actually worse than Seattle who has a 0.191 batting average in their last 3. Marco Gonzales should last long enough to make the relievers a nonfactor so at +128 I can see Seattle sneaking through due to the hitting woes of late.

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games.
  • Houston are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
  • Houston are 19-1 SU in their last 20 games against Seattle.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games.
  • Seattle are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.
  • Seattle are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games at home.

PREDICTION

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MARINERS

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