Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox

ASTROS VS RED SOX

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Today’s matchup is between the Houston Astros (33-26) and the Boston Red Sox (36-23). The Astros have won 6 of their last 10 games & the Red Sox have won 7 of their last 10 games.

The Astros are starting Framber Valdez (LHP), who is 1-0 on the season with a 1.64 ERA, 3.14 FIP, 0.235 wOBA, K% of 30.4%, BB% of 8.7%, 88.6 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1 WHIP in 11 innings pitched.

The Red Sox are starting Martin Perez (LHP), who is 4-2 on the season with a 3.09 ERA, 3.49 FIP, .295 wOBA, K% of 22.1%, BB% of 7.8%, 88.2 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.23 WHIP in 58.1 innings pitched.

The Astros are 25th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Red Sox are 5th.

On the hitting side, the Astros have a .332 wOBA and a .339 OBP with 68 HRs. While the Red Sox have a .326 wOBA and a .316 OBP with 74 HRs.

This one is a tough game to call. So far in 2021, Framber Valdez has looked good while in 2020 he had a 3.57 ERA & a 2.85 FIP. Martin Perez is along those lines of production. The thing is if Framber Valez continues to have pitch a .235 wOBA I believe he will get the win in this game.

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games.
  • Houston are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.
  • Houston are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Boston.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games.
  • Boston are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 11 games against Houston.

PREDICTION

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ASTROS

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