PREVIEW:
Today’s matchup is between the Reds (35-31) and the Padres (38-32). In the last 10 games the Reds are (8-2) while the Padres are (2-8).
STARTING PITCHING:
The Reds are starting Wade Miley LHP, who is (6-4) on the season pitching a 2.92 ERA, 2.96 FIP, .272 OBP, .262 wOBA, .318 SLG, .589 OPS, K% of 20.1%, BB% of 6.7%, 84.1 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.13 WHIP in 61.2 innings pitched.
The Padres are starting Joe Musgrove RHP, who is (4-6) on the season pitching a 2.50 ERA, 3.04 FIP, .239 OBP, .249 wOBA, .327 SLG, .566 OPS, K% of 33.8%, BB% of 4.9%, 88.3 MPH average exit velocity, and a .83 WHIP in 72 innings pitched.
⚡ EDGE (1 to 10) - PADRES 4
RELIEF PITCHING:
The Reds are 28th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching. They have a 5.59 ERA, 4.79 FIP, 4.55 xFIP, K% of 26.8%, BB% of 12.8%, and a 1.43 WHIP.
The Padres are 9th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching. They have a 2.67 ERA, 3.83 FIP, 3.74 xFIP, K% of 27.4%, BB% of 8.9%, and a 1.12 WHIP.
⚡ EDGE (1 to 10) - PADRES 7
HITTING:
The Reds have a .331 wOBA, .329 OBP, .429 SLG, .758 OPS, 107 wRC+, & 91 HRs.
The Padres have a .302 wOBA, .315 OBP, .371 SLG, .686 OPS, 94 wRC+, & 70 HRs.
vs RHP pitchers on the road the Reds have a .302 wOBA, .308 OBP, .378 SLG, .686 OPS, & 91 wRC+.
vs LHP pitchers at home the Padres have a .290 wOBA, .318 OBP, .332 SLG, .65 OPS, & 87 wRC+.
⚡ EDGE (1 to 10) - REDS 4
BALLPARK FACTORS:
The game is being played at Petco Park which has the 16 ranked Park Factor in the Majors. Where 100 is the league average this park has:
Park Factor 98, Runs Scored 99, OBP 99, 2B 99, 3B 97, HRs 99, & SO 100.
BREAKDOWN:
⚾ We have 2 great starting pitchers on the mound today but I give the edge to Joe Musgrove. The Padres also have the much better relieving team and while the Cardinals are a better hitting team the splits for today's game closes that gap a lot. Give me the Padres to win!
💰🔮 My guess at the ML number before looking Padres -150 | Live Line is Padres -177.
