Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs


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Today’s matchup is between the Cincinnati Reds (22-28) and the Chicago Cubs (29-22). The Reds have won 2 of their last 5 games & the Cubs have won 5 of their last 5 games.

The Reds are starting Tyler Mahle (RHP), on the mound who is 3-2 on the season pitching a 3.75 ERA, 3.89 FIP, .310 wOBA, K% of 26.5%, BB% of 8.5%, 88.8 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.23 WHIP in 50.1 innings pitched.

The Cubs are starting Jake Arrieta (RHP), who is 5-4 on the season with a 4.37 ERA, 4.85 FIP, .327 wOBA, K% of 18.9%, BB% of 8.0%, 91.2 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.29 WHIP in 47.1 innings pitched.

The Reds are the 22nd in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Cubs are 3rd.

On the hitting side, the Reds have a .328 wOBA and a .323 OBP. The Cubs have a .318 wOBA and a .323 OBP. The Reds have 69 HRs this season while the Cubs have 58 HRs.

The Cubs are on fire winning their last 5 games in a row. The starting pitchers are close in production while the Cubs have a big edge in relieving pitching. The Reds have more hitting power than the Cubs. This game is a toss-up so I won't be betting this myself as both teams are currently -110 but if I had to pick I'd go with the Cubs to continue their win streak.

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games.
  • Cincinnati are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games.
  • Cincinnati are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games against Chi Cubs.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs' last 7 games.
  • Chi Cubs are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chi Cubs' last 15 games against Cincinnati.