Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres

CUBS VS PADRES

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Today’s matchup is between the Chicago Cubs (34-27) and the San Diego Padres (37-26). The Cubs have won 2 of their last 5 games & the Padres have won 2 of their last 5 games.

The Cubs are starting Jake Arrieta (RHP), who is 5-6 on the season with a 5.26 ERA, 5.67 FIP, 0.359 wOBA, K% of 17.7%, BB% of 9.3%, 91.5 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.49 WHIP in 53 innings pitched.

The Padres are starting Yu Darvish (LHP), who is 6-1 on the season with a 2.25 ERA, 3.07 FIP, 0.262 wOBA, K% of 29.5%, BB% of 6%, 87 MPH average exit velocity, and a 0.93 WHIP in 72 innings pitched.

The Cubs are 5th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Padres are 8th.

On the hitting side, the Cubs have a .315 wOBA and a .314 OBP with 77 HRs. While the Padres have a .308 wOBA and a .322 OBP with 63 HRs.

In this matchup, I'm taking the Padres & Yu Darvish to win in the first 5 innings. Arrieta's not the same pitcher as he once was. I expect this game to be somewhat close deep into the game but I think the Padres get off to a quick lead!

  • Chi Cubs are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games.
  • Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against San Diego.
  • Chi Cubs are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
  • San Diego are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games.
  • San Diego are 13-3 SU in their last 16 games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 9 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs.

PREDICTION

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F5 PADRES

CONFIDENCE