Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies


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Today’s matchup is between the Boston Red Sox (14-28) and the Philadelphia Phillies (20-17). The Red Sox have won 2 of their last 5 games & the Phillies have won 3 of their last 5 games.

The Red Sox are starting Martin Perez (LHP) on the mound who is 2-4 on the season pitching a 4.07 ERA, 4.74 FIP, .301 wOBA, K% of 16.9, BB% of 10.5, 85.6 MPH average exit velocity & a 1.21 WHIP in 42 innings pitched.

The Phillies are starting Zach Eflin (RHP), who is 2-1 with a 4.45 ERA, 2.90 FIP, .319 wOBA, K% of 30.9, BB% of 5.9, 86.7 MPH average exit velocity & a 1.27 WHIP in 32.1 innings pitched.

The Red Sox are 5th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching while the Phillies are 23rd.

On the hitting side the Red Sox have a .330 wOBA & a .326 OBP. The Phillies have a .336 wOBA & a .339 OBP. The Red Sox have 55 HRs this season while the Phillies have 56 HRs.

The Phillies are the 4th best in the Majors vs Left handed pitching and Perez's FIP indicates he's a subpar pitcher this season while Zach Eflin's FIP indicates he's better than his ERA suggests. The Red Sox have have better relieving pitching which is why I like the Phillies to win the First 5 innings.

Boston Red Sox:
Record: 14-28

Last 10 Games: 4-6

Streak: L1

Philadelphia Phillies:
Record: 20-17

Last 10 Games: 7-3

Streak: W1


  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games.
  • Boston are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games.
  • Boston are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games against Philadelphia.
  • Philadelphia are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games against Boston.
  • Philadelphia are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games at home.