Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros

RED SOX VS ASTROS

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Today’s matchup is between the Boston Red Sox (32-23) and the Houston Astros (31-24). The Red Sox have won 3 of their last 5 games & the Astros have won 3 of their last 5 games.

The Red Sox are starting Martin Perez (LHP), on the mound who is 3-2 on the season pitching a 3.55 ERA, 3.62 FIP, .305 wOBA, K% of 22.1%, BB% of 7.8%, 88.2 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.28 WHIP in 50.2 innings pitched.

The Astros are starting Jake Odorizzi (RHP), who is 0-2 on the season with a 6.75 ERA, 4.70 FIP, .331 wOBA, K% of 26.3%, BB% of 7.0%, 87.4 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.28 WHIP in 13.1 innings pitched.

The Red Sox are 6th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Astros are 29th.

On the hitting side, the Red Sox have a .328 wOBA and a .317 OBP. The Astros have a .331 wOBA and a .338 OBP. The Red Sox have 69 HRs this season while the Astros have 61 HRs.

Martin Perez (Red Sox) is the better starting pitcher even though Jake Odorizzi has an almost 7 ERA in only 13 innings, I'm sure by the end of the season it will be closer to a 4 ERA. That said, the Red Sox also have an advantage in relief pitching & batting so that's my pick to win the game!

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games.
  • Boston are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Houston.
  • Boston are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in 13 of Houston's last 17 games.
  • Houston are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 10 games against Boston.

PREDICTION

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RED SOX

CONFIDENCE