PREVIEW:
Today’s matchup is between the Red Sox (40-27) and the Braves (30-33). In the last 10 games the Red Sox are (6-4) while the Braves are (5-5).
STARTING PITCHING:
The Red Sox are starting Eduardo Rodriguez LHP, who is (5-4) on the season pitching a 6.03 ERA, 3.86 FIP, .339 OBP, .356 wOBA, .490 SLG, .830 OPS, K% of 25.8%, BB% of 6.3%, 88.1 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.46 WHIP in 62.2 innings pitched.
The Braves are starting Tucker Davidson LHP, who is (0-0) on the season pitching a 1.53 ERA, 3.50 FIP, .243 OBP, .226 wOBA, .246 SLG, .489 OPS, K% of 20%, BB% of 10%, 87.6 MPH average exit velocity, and a .99 WHIP in 17.2 innings pitched.
⚡ EDGE (1 to 10) - BRAVES 7
RELIEF PITCHING:
The Red Sox are 12th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching. They have a 3.8 ERA, 3.97 FIP, 3.92 xFIP, K% of 27.1%, BB% of 1.8%, and a 1.39 WHIP.
The Braves are 19th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching. They have a 4.77 ERA, 4.21 FIP, 4.45 xFIP, K% of 24.1%, BB% of 1.3%, and a 1.40 WHIP.
⚡ EDGE (1 to 10) - RED SOX 2
HITTING:
The Red Sox have a .323 wOBA, .315 OBP, .433 SLG, .748 OPS, 102 wRC+, & 81 HRs.
The Braves have a .321 wOBA, .317 OBP, .427 SLG, .744 OPS, 102 wRC+, & 93 HRs.
vs LHP pitchers on the road the Red Sox have a .285 wOBA, .296 OBP, .355 SLG, .651 OPS, & 81 wRC+.
vs LHP pitchers at home the Braves have a .331 wOBA, .308 OBP, .463 SLG, .772 OPS, & 106 wRC+.
⚡ EDGE - BRAVES 5
BALLPARK FACTORS:
The game is being played at Truist Park which has the 10 ranked Park Factor in the Majors. Where 100 is the league average this park has:
Park Factor 101, Runs Scored 103, OBP 101, 2B 99, 3B 102, HRs 97, & SO 80.
BREAKDOWN:
⚾ On The Surface hitting wise for the season they seem pretty evenly matched up. But when you look into the splits the Braves are better hitting LHP than the Red Sox are. On top of that Tucker Davidson is pitching at a high level so far in 17.2 innings pitched and I feel he gets his first win of the season here!
💰🔮 My guess at the ML number before looking Braves -145 | Live Line is Braves -115.
