Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox


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Today’s matchup is between the Baltimore Orioles (17-33) and the Chicago White Sox (29-20). The Orioles have won 0 of their last 5 games & the White Sox have won 3 of their last 5 games.

The Orioles are starting John Means (LHP), on the mound who is 4-0 on the season pitching a 1.79 ERA, 3.46 FIP, .223 wOBA, K% of 26.7%, BB% of 4.6%, 85.8 MPH average exit velocity, and a 0.75 WHIP in 65.1 innings pitched.

The White Sox are starting Lance Lynn (RHP), who is 5-1 on the season with a 1.51 ERA, 3.12 FIP, .236 wOBA, K% of 25.9%, BB% of 7.8%, 88.7 MPH average exit velocity, and a 0.97 WHIP in 47.2 innings pitched.

The Orioles are the 8th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the White Sox are 7th.

On the hitting side, the Orioles have a .301 wOBA and a .301 OBP. The White Sox have a .328 wOBA and a .342 OBP. The Orioles have 46 HRs this season while the White Sox have 46 HRs.

This should be a tightly contested low scoring game. I like the value a lot at +158 Orioles to win. Starting & relieving is even while the Sox have the better hitting team. It's not by much though which is why I like the O's.

  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of Baltimore's last 14 games.
  • Baltimore are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games.
  • Baltimore are 0-9 SU in their last 9 games on the road.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games.
  • Chi White Sox are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games at home.