Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

BRAVES VS PHILLIES

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Today’s matchup is between the Atlanta Braves (29-29) and the Philadelphia Phillies (28-31). The Braves have won 4 of their last 5 games & the Philadelphia Phillies have won 3 of their last 5 games.

The Braves are starting Tucker Davidson (LHP), who is 0-0 on the season with a 2.31 ERA, 4.13 FIP, 0.239 wOBA, K% of 21.7%, BB% of 13%, 87.7 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.07 WHIP in 11.2 innings pitched.

The Philadelphia Phillies are starting Zach Eflin (RHP), who is 2-5 on the season with a 4.1 ERA, 3.21 FIP, 0.317 wOBA, K% of 24.5%, BB% of 2.9%, 88.5 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.19 WHIP in 68 innings pitched.

The Braves are 13th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Philadelphia Phillies are 16th.

On the hitting side, the Braves have a .322 wOBA and a .317 OBP with 86 HRs. While the Philadelphia Phillies have a .305 wOBA and a .311 OBP with 62 HRs.

I think this is the spot Tucker Davidson gets his first win of the season. Zach Eflin's a decent pitcher but the upside of the Braves bats as well makes me like this pick even more.

  • Atlanta are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
  • Atlanta are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Philadelphia.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games.
  • Philadelphia are 7-13 SU in their last 20 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games against Atlanta.

PREDICTION

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BRAVES

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