Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

BRAVES VS PHILLIES

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Today’s matchup is between the Atlanta Braves (28-29) and the Philadelphia Phillies (28-30). The Braves have won 5 of their last 10 games & the Phillies have won 5 of their last 10 games.

The Braves are starting Drew Smyly (LHP), who is 2-3 on the season with a 5.98 ERA, 6.32 FIP, 0.364 wOBA, K% of 21.1%, BB% of 7.8%, 91.1 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.39 WHIP in 46.2 innings pitched.

The Phillies are starting Aaron Nola (RHP), who is 4-4 on the season with a 3.84 ERA, 3.21 FIP, 0.299 wOBA, K% of 26.7%, BB% of 5.1%, 88.7 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.17 WHIP in 70.1 innings pitched.

The Braves are 19th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Phillies are 22nd.

On the hitting side, the Braves have a .322 wOBA and a .317 OBP. The Phillies have a .305 wOBA and a .311 OBP. The Braves have 86 HRs this season while the Phillies have 62 HRs.

This is a case where I don't know how the full game plays out but I feel much better taking the Phillies first 5 as Aaron Nola is better than the struggling Drew Smyly.

  • Atlanta are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against Philadelphia.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road.
  • Atlanta are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games against Atlanta.
  • Philadelphia are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta.

PREDICTION

0
F5 PHILLIES

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