Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers


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Today’s matchup is between the Arizona Diamondbacks (20-39) and the Milwaukee Brewers (31-26). The Diamondbacks have won 1 of their last 5 games & the Brewers have won 4 of their last 5 games.

The Diamondbacks are starting Merrill Kelly (RHP), on the mound who is 2-6 on the season pitching a 5.04 ERA, 4.03 FIP, .332 wOBA, K% of 21.1%, BB% of 6.5%, 89.9 MPH average exit velocity, and a 1.35 WHIP in 64.1 innings pitched.

The Brewers are starting Brandon Woodruff (RHP), who is 4-2 on the season with a 1.27 ERA, 2.15 FIP, .181 wOBA, K% of 31.8%, BB% of 6.1%, 86.9 MPH average exit velocity, and a 0.69 WHIP in 71.0 innings pitched.

The Diamondbacks are 26th in the Majors in Relieving Pitching (WAR) while the Brewers are 20th.

On the hitting side, the Diamondbacks have a .308 wOBA and a .313 OBP. The Brewers have a .293 wOBA and a .297 OBP. The Diamondbacks have 57 HRs this season while the Brewers have 68 HRs.

This pick is pretty straightforward. Brandon Woodruff is the much better pitcher compared to Merrill Kelly & the team's hitting is practically a push. I got the Brewers to win!

  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games.
  • Arizona are 2-17 SU in their last 19 games.
  • Arizona are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against Milwaukee.
  • Milwaukee are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games against Arizona.
  • Milwaukee are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.